Heads-Up: Upswing Resilient Investor Guide - Risk Severity Matrix
Let’s focus our attention on Risk that involves multiplying the loss/impact/severity and likelihood or probability [16] Risk = Impact * Likelihood, where Likelihood is the possibility of a risk event (negative or smaller than expected return) occurring, whereas Impact signifies beneficial or harmful effect of a risk event on the investment objectives. According to the proposed TLS, we will define the following Likelihood and Impact Low, Moderate and High scores. Table 1 shows that the risk severity matrix is a square containing 9 colored boxes in a 3x3 pattern. On the left are the Likelihood Levels, which is how we rate the likelihood that the event will happen. On the top are the Impact Levels, or severity if the event occur. Likelihood and related Probability P goes from Low (at the top left) to High (at the bottom left): Level 1 (Low) Not expected, but possible (P~0.25+/-0.2); Level 2 (Moderate) May occur sporadically (P~0.5+/-0.2); Level 3 (High) Likely to occur soon and repe...